07 Oct

Rafael Nadal VS Vasek Pospisil ATP Beijing

As the second round of the ATP Beijing commences Rafael Nadal will face off versus Vasek Pospisil for the first time ever. The 8th ranked Rafael Nadal who is usually among the top 3-5 players in the world will be looking to claim another title at this event and Vasek will be one of the road stops on his journey to said title. The 44th ranked Vasek will in turn be looking to prove himself over in Beijing having climbed from rank 130 in the past two years but have since stagnated at round rank 40-50. With two strong players wanting to show the world that they´re still in the game this opens up for some good betting opportunities

Vasek Pospisil will be coming into this match with 3 victories and 2 defeats in his latest 5 matches. His most notable victory in his latest 5 games was versus Victor Estrella Burgos in the first round  of this tournament where he turned a 4-6 result in the first set to 7-5 in the second set and finished off Burgos with 6-0 in the third set; showcasing great determination, shape and use of psychological advantage. Vaseks most notable defeat was in a 6-7(2) 6-3 6-2 versus the rank 15 player Feliciano Lopez.

Rafael Nadal will be coming into this game with 3 victories and 2 defeats in his latest 5 games aswell. Nadal has been quite weak this year and is looking for a way back to the top 5 of the rankings (preferably top 3) and to do so he must show that he still has the same determination and physique as he once had, however the skill is still there. Rafael Nadals most notable victory in his latest 5 games was his first round victory in the ATP Beijing against the rank 230 Di Wu, not because Di Wu displayed a chance of beating the veteran but rather since Nadal actually started to struggle in the second set but then went on to finish Wu with 6-4, 6-4. Rafael Nadals most notable defeat was versus Feliciano Lopez where he showcased greater resistance than Pospisil losing with 5-7 6-4 7-6(3).

Rafael Nadal vs Vasek Pospisil ATP Beijing prediction

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Predicted outcome:

As the players haven´t faced each other before the viking can’t use any such statistics to make a prediction, this also means that there will be no previous psychological advantage apart from the face that Nadal can and has been on a completely different level than most players in the world (the top 3 level). Both players did however lose to Feliciano Lopez in 3 sets and Pospisil did put up an impressive performance against Andy Murray at the quarter finals of this years Wimbledon where Pospisil managed to grab a few games but lost the match 6-4 7-5 6-4. Regardless of how well Pospisil has played the viking believes that there is a class difference between the two players and with Nadal seeking to reclaim his previous position among the elite of the elite, we should be looking at him to put up everything in his arsenal. However the viking believes that it´s very likely that Pospisil manages to grab a set and presumably the first one, which indicates that there is good value to be had in the following picks: Over 21.5 games, Over 27.5 games, Over 2.5 sets, Rafael Nadal -3.5 (Pospisil will most likely get one break or win a tiebreak if he gets said set, if Nadal crushes him then this pick will still stand which means that it holds immense value) and Rafael Nadal to win.

Rafael Nadal – Vasek Pospisil 1-2 @ 3.95

The vikings picks for this game:

Rafael Nadal – Vasek Pospisil , Rafael Nadal @ 1.29

Over 21.5 games @ 1.75

Over 27.5 games @ 3.35

Over 2.5 sets @ 2.75

First set winner, Vasek Pospisil @ 3.10

 

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