06 Nov

Novak Djokovic vs Tomas Berdych ATP Masters Paris

Apart from Andy Murray vs Richard Gasquet the ATP Paris Masters offers another interesting quarterfinals fixture in Novak Djokovic vs Tomas Berdych. The world no.1 is on fire and this will probably be the first match of the tournament that we get to see how good the Serb really is. Djokovic gave us the impression that he was holding back quite a bit in his face offs with Simon Gilles and Belluci, he will probably play this fixture with more energy and focus. The ATP veteran Berdych has shown to be in quite good shape though as he battled past this years promise Jo-Wilfried Tsonga with ease, finishing the game with 6-3 6-4.

Novak Djokovic will be coming in to this fixture with 20 straight victories in his latest games and the Serb is looking even more dominant than usual. It looked as if Djokovic was holding back his energy in his first games versus Gilles and Belluci, possibly trying to avoid injuries with the ATP London Finals around the corner (9 days to go). This match actually serves as a good sports betting preview for that event as both players will attend, Djokovic actually beat Berdych in said event last year with 6-2 6-2, in fact Djokovic has eliminated Berdych from the ATP World Tour Finals every year since 2010 (excluding 2014).

However Djokovic is consistently able to outplay any opponent utilizing his great tennis skills in conjunction with his good shape and large posture. Furthermore we saw in the US Open finals this year that if he needs to then Djokovic can up his tempo ten-fold.

Tomas Berdych will be coming into this fixture with 6 victories and 1 defeat in his latest games. The single defeat was versus Andy Murray with 6-1 6-3 in the ATP Shanghai Masters event. Berdych seemed to struggle a bit in the first round in Paris when he got past Edouard Roger-Vasselin with 6-3, 4-6, 7-5. He then went on to beat Jo Wilfried Tsonga in a more convincing manner, winning the match with 6-3, 6-4.

Djokovic vs Berdych prediction

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Predicted outcome:

The viking’s prediction for this game will be based on current shape, head to head matches and motivation. Starting with motivation I belive that Djokovic will have a small edge here as this will be his first real challenge of the Paris tournament and as it’s likely that we’ll see Djokovic performing at his full potential. Berdych should be coming into this fixture with a good mindset aswell as it gives him a chance to test his current skills and shape versus the very best in the scene.

The head to head statistics are 19-2 in favor of Djokovic. In fact the last time that Tomas Berdych was at the quarter finals of the ATP Rome Masters event back in 2013. However Berdych has actually took the fixture to 3 sets in both of their two meetings this year, first at the semifinals of ATP Dubai where Djokovic won with 6-0, 5-7, 6-4 and then in the finals of the ATP Monte Carlo Masters event where Djokovic defeated Berdych with 7-5, 4-6, 6-3. With this in mind Nole will definitely have the mental edge coming into this match, but it also tells us that Berdych might have the mindset that he want´s to win one set at least and as such there is value to be had in the over 2.5 sets pick which has an odds of 3.80, making that selection a very good value bet.

Tomas Berdych seems to be in decent shape for this fixture (read in good shape but not his best ever), but Djokovic is reaching the peak of his career and with 20 straight wins in his latest matches (having a similar record prior to this streak aswell). So there is a huge edge for Djokovic here which is also why we choose him to win as our pick for this week’s banker of the week.

Novak Djokovic Tomas Berdych 2-1 @ 4.55

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The vikings picks for this game:

Novak Djokovic Tomas Berdych, Novak Djokovic @ 1.10

Over 2.5 sets @ 3.80

First set winner, Novak Djokovic @ 1.16

Banker of the week:

Novak Djokovic Tomas Berdych, Novak Djokovic @ 1.10

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One thought on “Novak Djokovic vs Tomas Berdych ATP Masters Paris

  1. Pingback: Novak Djokovic vs Andy Murray ATP Masters Paris preview

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