US Open final preview & prediction Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka:
It was an explosive friday yesterday with all of our main predictions hitting in the semifinals and now Novak Djokovic and Stanislas Wawrinka will battle it out for the title in the 2016 US Open final. Both players have had a similar story in the tournament, being two big question marks for fans, bookmakers and punters. Novak Djokovic being in a slump was the talk of the tennis world after he dropped out in the first round at the Rio Olympics prior to getting knocked out in the third round of Wimbledon. Nole had also rumor of being injured for this tournament as he withdrew from the Cincinnati Masters due to a recurring wrist injury, however Djokovic got his way to the finals paved out for him as prior to the semis he had only played 10 sets in total. The viking predicted that we would see the Novak Djokovic vs Gael Monfils semi go over 3.5 sets and it did, though Novak looked to be back to his old dominating style and we’re sure that he’s out of his slump after that performance.
Stan “The man” Wawrinka haven’t had the best season either, though the competition in the ATP has grown fiercer this season with Del Potro, Nadal and a few others coming out big. Early on in the tournament we were sure that Wawrinka was going to get knocked out by one of the major underdogs, he had several showing weaknesses. However Wawrinka managed to fight back after round 4, first he used his strategizing play style to revenge on Juan Martin Del Potro who knocked him out from Wimbledon. Stan showed that he had been working on his forehand which had suffered in the previous rounds once he lost momentum. Stan was the underdog coming into the finals, when he as predicted by Bettingviking in our previous preview defeated Kei Nishikori. Wawrinka lost the first set but did something which he showed us in the Del Potro game aswell, he adapted and then gained back his momentum.
This is something that is key for Wawrinka as when he has momentum he can rival anyone in the ATP’s top 5 but when he loses it his focus is quick to follow with it and we see him loosing to sub top 10 players. What Wawrinka has shown in these matches is that he has improved his willpower and that he’s capable of adapting to opponents mid-game to figure out a winning strategy and win momentum.
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Djokovic vs Wawrinka head to head:
“Djoker” and “Stan the man” have faced each other 25 times before dating back to 2004 and as such this is quite a classic matchup in the biggest tournaments of the ATP tour. Novak leads their head to head record with a whopping 21-4, however they’ve only faced off in one grand slam final prior to this one and that was in last years French Open final. A match that Wawrinka managed to win with 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4.
In that final we saw Wawrinka doing the exact same thing that he did versus Kei in the semis here at US Open, he lost the first set and then adapted and capitalized on Djokovic’s momentum by using one of his greatest strengths; Hitting ground strokes around the court to get Djoko tired.
US Open final prediction, Wawrinka vs Djokovic:
The viking’s prediction for this US Open final between Stanislas Wawrinka and Novak Djokovic is a victory for Wawrinka in over 3 sets. Novak will be more rested than Wawrinka and as such fatigue wont be an issue for him but his wrists problems prior to the tournament is something that Stanislas is more than likely to try and abuse in his game plan. We think that for Wawrinka it’s more in reaching the finals than the final itself, once he’s there his self confidence and momentum is at it’s peak and he’s able to play to his full extent. Novak Djokovic on the other seems to always be at his full extent (with the exception of his previous slump), sure he can kick it up one level or two as we’ve seen in the classic Federer vs Djokovic grand slam finals but those finals are more than finals for Djokovic as it’s his chance to prove to the world who the true world no.1 is and that’s
something that’s sure to give him extra motivation.
They key here for Wawrinka will be the first sets, if he loses the first set he will need to comeback with a plan that allows him to get an advantage. However this is not the easiest task versus a player like Djokovic who just seems to hit perfect balls on every stroke in just about every game he has played. This is however Wawrinka’s final to win with the personal journey he has done with his motivation and game during the tournament. We should expect Wawrinka to be at the top of his game and even if he drops the first set, he’ll have a chance to win this final.
The other good picks for this match are the over 3.5 sets pick and the over 39.5 games pick. The over 3.5 sets pick holds EXTREME value as it’s very unlikely that either player takes this 3-0, that pick should be at 1.10 not 1.50.
We’ve also compiled some tips for live betting on this match at the bottom of this page.
European odds from Nordicbet for the US Open final 2016:
Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka prediction:
Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, 2 – 3 @ 7.95
The viking’s picks for this game:
Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, Wawrinka to win @ 3.25
Over 3.5 sets @ 1.50
Over 39.5 games @ 1.81
US Friendly odds from Bovada us friendly online sportsbook for the US Open final 2016:
Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka prediction:
Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, 2 – 3 @ +650
Over 39.5 games @ -120
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Live betting tips for the US Open final 2016:
- Watch the final live for both the entertainment and in order to capitalize on our tips here.
- If Wawrinka looses the first set, watch the first games in the second set and look for changes in his play. Is he trying to use the court to his advantage? If Wawrinka succeeds with a new gameplan he typically plays at his top level and he could take that set very fast. Slam the second set winner line if you notice this.
- Look for changes in Wawrinka’s momentum, when he starts to loose his focus he usually hits his forehand strokes in the net early on in the game. Livebet a few point winners on Djokovic, maybe even the game if it’s his serve.
- Wawrinka will show that he has regained his momentum by making a finger to the head gesture, when he does this he usually have his focus back and you could try betting on a few points or even a break.
- Watch Djokovic’s wrist and facial expressions, Wawrinka will push him to give everything he’s got and this could mean that his previous injury starts to hurt again from getting overworked. If this happens Wawrinka will notice aswell and hit hard strokes back at him, if you see this SLAM the Wawrinka winner line.